Testing the Limits
Dear Friends, 

The first month of the new year culminated in a string of lethal events that have threatened to usher in a wider escalation between Israelis and Palestinians. Distrust, anger, and hopelessness are festering on both sides, exacerbated by inflammatory social and political discourse and the looming threat of destructive policies that undermine the prospect of a two-state solution. At the same time, the international community’s attention is returning to the conflict as Israelis and Palestinians societies mobilize to call for the protection of justice, human rights and dignity, and peace. 

The Two State Index rises +0.4% this month, from an all-time low of 4.98 to 5.00Scroll through the headlines below for in-depth analysis on how developments this month impacted the feasibility of the two-state solution.



January at a Glance:

  • Spiraling Violence in West Bank and East Jerusalem Tests US Red Lines: Blinken's tone departs from the relative passivity with which the US has previously spoken about the threats posed by the new Israeli government

  • After Bloodiest Month in Years, Israel and Palestinians Teeter on the Brink of a Full-Scale Escalation: The TSI breaks down the proximate causes of the recent violence
  • Israelis Mobilize Against Damaging Policies, But Only 40% View Occupation as Harmful: As Israelis rally en-masse, poll finds that only 36% of Israeli Jews believe the occupation harms Palestinians and 30% believe it doesn’t harm Palestinians at all. 

These events increased the Two State Index by +0.4% in January (up 0.02 points from 4.98 to 5.0)