On the Brink: Elections, Escalation, Engagement
Dear Friends,

This month, both Israeli Prime Minister Yair Lapid and Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas expressed their support for and desire to advance a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. The fact that, for the first time in years, both the Israeli and Palestinian leadership have used global platforms to call for peace is a promising development. But events on the ground – including mounting violence in the West Bank and East Jerusalem – are in stark contrast to these aspirations and the international community must ensure that Israelis and Palestinians continue to take positive steps towards peace.

The Two State Index rises +1.4% in September to 5.73. Click on the headlines below for in-depth analysis on how developments this month impacted the feasibility of the two-state solution.



September at a Glance:

  • With Palestinian Issue Taking Center Stage in Israeli Election, Lapid Sees Jump in Approval Following UN Speech: Lapid’s speech indicates a political calculus in which declaring support for a two-state solution is linked to mobilizing crucial electoral support at home.

  • A Recipe for Disaster - West Bank on Brink Amid PA Power Vacuum, Mounting Resistance to Israeli Crackdown: Clashes with PA security forces in Nablus underscore conflicting pressures in West Bank arena.

  • After Lapid’s UN Speech, Israeli and Palestinian Public Opinion Mixed on Two-State Solution: Despite rise in support, only 32% of Palestinians believe the two-state solution remains feasible. 

  • Jewish Visits to Temple Mount/Haram al-Sharif Reach Record Highs Amid Clashes: Hamas threatens violence over holiday visits as it seeks to capitalize on Jerusalem tensions to strengthen West Bank influence. 

  • Israel Advances Plans for 700 Settlement Units Under Givat Shaked Plan: Controversial plan adjacent to Green Line pins Palestinian neighborhood of Beit Safafa on all sides.

These events increased the Two State Index by +1.4 % in September (up 0.08 points from 5.65 to 5.73)